Bagdad, California 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

582
FXUS65 KVEF 070759
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1259 AM PDT Mon Apr 7 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Temperatures across the region will climb above normal
today with the warming trend continuing through midweek. Dry
conditions will prevail as well thanks to the ridge of high
pressure building over the Western US. Winds will pick up across
the western Mojave Desert and southern Great Basin today with
lighter winds returning on Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...through Tuesday.

Broad ridge axis will continue to build overhead today and
tomorrow, allowing for a continued warming trend and dry weather.
A few high clouds will pass through our northern zones associated
with a passing shortwave to our north, with a modest increase in
afternoon southwesterly winds as well. However, wind gusts will
remain below any headline levels and will be more of a nuisance
than anything else. Strongest winds this afternoon will be across
the southern Great Basin and western Mojave Desert, where a few
gusts of 30-35 mph will be possible. Meanwhile, afternoon highs
will climb several degrees warmer today, rising 6 to 10 degrees
above normal, with further warming expected Tuesday.

.LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday.

Temperatures continue to climb through the end of the workweek as
heights aloft build. Highs should be 10 to 15 degrees above normal
by Thursday and 15 to 20 degrees above normal by Friday. This
pattern should yield widespread Minor (Level 1) HeatRisk with
pockets of Moderate (Level 2) HeatRisk along the Colorado River,
Death Valley, and other areas of lower elevation in the Mojave
Desert. This level of heat primarily affects those that are
sensitive to heat, have not had time to acclimate to increased
temperatures, or do not have access to sufficient cooling or
hydration. Plan ahead for heat, especially if spending time
outdoors.

Forecast confidence decreases going into next weekend. An upper
level trough will move from the Pacific Ocean into the western
United States. The ECMWF depicts a shallower and faster moving
trough compared to the GEFS, which shows a deeper and slower moving
trough. Low confidence is reflected in the NBM, where the spread in
potential high temperatures and maximum wind gusts increases
Saturday onward.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast Package... Expect
light and diurnal winds through Monday morning before gusty
southwest winds pick up across the Las Vegas Valley with gust speeds
between 15 and 20 kts. Gust speed and frequency will decrease after
sunset. FEW aoa 25 kft through the TAF period.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 06Z Forecast Package... Gusty southwest winds
pick up across the region Monday afternoon with gust speeds between
15 and 25 kts. KBIH will favor a west-northwesterly direction, while
KIFP and KEED vary between 160 and 240 (true). Gust speed and
frequency will decrease after sunset. KDAG will favor the west with
gust speeds approaching 30 kts through the afternoon and evening.
FEW aoa 25 kft through the TAF period.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Outler
LONG TERM...Meltzer
AVIATION...Soulat

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